CBOE S&P 500 One-Year Volatility Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, April 14th, 2026
1 Day
35.67%
decreased by 2.45%
1 Week
37.21%
decreased by 0.91%
1 Month
42.82%
increased by 4.70%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, April 14, 2026 at 11:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2227 | 10.77 | |
| 0.3529 | 16.53 | |
| 0.7221 | 66.61 | |
| -0.1500 | -5.64 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 30, 2017 to Apr 10, 2026
Jun 30, 2017 to Apr 10, 2026
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