CBOE S&P 500 One-Year Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
24.50%
increased by 0.28%
1 Week
28.25%
increased by 4.03%
1 Month
35.36%
increased by 11.14%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | ||
| 0.3587 | 43.23 | |
| 0.6946 | 98.01 | |
| -0.2989 | -18.61 | |
| 6.5666 | 0.49 | |
| 0.0500 | 0.57 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2007 to May 15, 2026
Jan 3, 2007 to May 15, 2026
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