V-Lab: CBOE Gold Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

V-Lab

CBOE Gold Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, July 14th, 2025:67.45% (+9.23%)

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 12, 2025 at 09:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

Parameter Estimates

	param	t-stat
$m$	81
$α$	0.1856	31.12
$β$	0.7574	71.19
$γ$	-0.1369	-10.81
$λ_{1}$	0.0000	0.00
$λ_{2}$	0.0008	0.72
$λ_{3}$	0.9991	673.25

Estimation Period:
Jun 3, 2008 to Jul 11, 2025

News Impact Curve

Impact of return on volatility tomorrow

Volatility Forecasts

Volatility Forecasts

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