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CBOE Brazil ETF Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

101.75%

increased by 2.50%

1 Week

97.17%

decreased by 2.08%

1 Month

92.70%

decreased by 6.55%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Brazil ETF Volatility Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2011 to Oct 22, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 364% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 364% more than negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.2373
4.51***
βGARCH0.6228
9.73***
γleverage-0.1861
-4.57***
λ₁tau intercept0.1886
0.75
λ₂forecast adj.0.0059
1.49
λ₃tau persistence0.9869
77.11***

0.767

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2373
4.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6228
9.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1861
-4.57***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1886
0.75
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0059
1.49
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9869
77.11***

Persistence:

0.767

Half-life:

3 days