Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

CBOE Emerging Market Markets Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026

1 Day

85.41%

decreased by 1.54%

1 Week

94.21%

increased by 7.26%

1 Month

103.89%

increased by 16.94%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 11:40 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Emerging Market Markets Volatility Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2011 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.2911
5.70***
βGARCH0.6366
13.94***
γleverage-0.2569
-3.72***
λ₁tau intercept0.2948
0.82
λ₂forecast adj.0.0105
1.45
λ₃tau persistence0.9839
76.73***

0.799

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2911
5.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6366
13.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2569
-3.72***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2948
0.82
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0105
1.45
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9839
76.73***

Persistence:

0.799

Half-life:

3 days