ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 6th, 2026
1 Day
37.64%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Week
40.67%
increased by 2.53%
1 Month
43.51%
increased by 5.37%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 3, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.2232 | 20.95 | |
| 0.6467 | 25.50 | |
| -0.1721 | -12.51 | |
| 0.3182 | 1.59 | |
| 0.0657 | 1.48 | |
| 0.8944 | 14.05 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Jul 2, 2026
Apr 26, 1995 to Jul 2, 2026
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