ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
55.99%
decreased by 6.14%
1 Week
55.88%
decreased by 6.25%
1 Month
56.63%
decreased by 5.50%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:51 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.2203 | 20.44 | |
| 0.6547 | 25.82 | |
| -0.1708 | -12.11 | |
| 0.4942 | 1.42 | |
| 0.1011 | 1.28 | |
| 0.8374 | 7.22 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
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