ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, April 17th, 2026
1 Day
48.50%
decreased by 4.01%
1 Week
46.73%
decreased by 5.78%
1 Month
42.22%
decreased by 10.29%
Analysis last updated: Friday, April 17, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6173 | 4.51 | |
| 0.1016 | 4.61 | |
| 0.8142 | 18.14 | |
| -0.0420 | -0.48 | |
| 0.0187 | 0.14 | |
| 0.0666 | 0.97 | |
| -0.0784 | -1.65 | |
| 0.0041 | 0.08 | |
| 0.1297 | 2.98 | |
| -0.1953 | -4.35 | |
| 0.1304 | 1.74 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
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