ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:43.90% (+1.52%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2257 | 9.85 | |
| 0.0893 | 29.45 | |
| 0.8609 | 169.07 | |
| -1.4060 | -14.63 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Dec 31, 2025
Apr 26, 1995 to Dec 31, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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