ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 6th, 2026
1 Day
34.70%
decreased by 0.92%
1 Week
35.75%
increased by 0.13%
1 Month
38.64%
increased by 3.02%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 3, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3995 | 20.95 | |
| 0.1428 | 15.69 | |
| 0.8556 | 150.53 | |
| -0.0992 | -8.30 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Jul 2, 2026
Apr 26, 1995 to Jul 2, 2026
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