ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, June 5th, 2026
1 Day
43.88%
decreased by 2.14%
1 Week
43.94%
decreased by 2.08%
1 Month
44.11%
decreased by 1.91%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 5, 2026 at 08:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3991 | 20.54 | |
| 0.1441 | 15.67 | |
| 0.8552 | 147.73 | |
| -0.1002 | -8.34 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
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