ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 8th, 2026
1 Day
52.90%
decreased by 3.27%
1 Week
52.15%
decreased by 4.02%
1 Month
49.91%
decreased by 6.26%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 9, 2026 at 03:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3991 | 20.54 | |
| 0.1441 | 15.67 | |
| 0.8552 | 147.73 | |
| -0.1002 | -8.34 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
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