ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, April 10th, 2026
1 Day
70.42%
decreased by 4.65%
1 Week
68.35%
decreased by 6.72%
1 Month
61.95%
decreased by 13.12%
Analysis last updated: Friday, April 10, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3991 | 20.54 | |
| 0.1441 | 15.67 | |
| 0.8552 | 147.73 | |
| -0.1002 | -8.34 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
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