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V-Lab

CDX/CBOE NA Investment Grade 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

110.44%

increased by 20.87%

1 Week

110.31%

increased by 20.74%

1 Month

109.96%

increased by 20.39%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CDX/CBOE NA Investment Grade 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6088
11.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1149
11.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8875
138.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1149
-10.96***

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days