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V-Lab

EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

83.33%

decreased by 2.68%

1 Week

85.82%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Month

90.84%

increased by 4.83%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 04:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8736
20.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1728
18.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8066
160.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1724
-17.77***

Persistence:

0.893

Half-life:

6 days