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V-Lab

EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

91.67%

decreased by 4.03%

1 Week

92.44%

decreased by 3.26%

1 Month

94.04%

decreased by 1.66%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 04:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1999 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8239
20.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1714
18.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8089
162.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1713
-17.79***

Persistence:

0.895

Half-life:

6 days