V-Lab
EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
83.33%
decreased by 2.68%
1 Week
85.82%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Month
90.84%
increased by 4.83%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 04:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.8736 | 20.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1728 | 18.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8066 | 160.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1724 | -17.77*** |
Persistence:
0.893
Half-life:
6 days
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