V-Lab
EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
83.35%
decreased by 4.05%
1 Week
84.54%
decreased by 2.86%
1 Month
88.05%
increased by 0.65%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 04:40 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 1999 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1946 | 11.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0985 | 19.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9458 | 277.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1489 | 27.62*** |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
12 days
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