V-Lab
EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
106.12%
decreased by 9.79%
1 Week
104.99%
decreased by 10.92%
1 Month
101.86%
decreased by 14.05%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 04:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 1999 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1948 | 2.86*** |
| αARCH | 0.0985 | 4.76*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9457 | 69.37*** |
| γleverage | 0.1489 | 6.91*** |
0.946
Persistence12d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1948 | 2.86*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0985 | 4.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9457 | 69.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1489 | 6.91*** |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
12 days
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