V-Lab
CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
57.30%
decreased by 1.29%
1 Week
58.48%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
61.76%
increased by 3.17%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 11:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 17, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1876 | 7.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0967 | 13.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9353 | 166.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2320 | 31.63*** |
Persistence:
0.935
Half-life:
10 days
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