Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

53.67%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Week

57.45%

increased by 3.64%

1 Month

69.46%

increased by 15.65%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2007 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.2240
3.18***
αARCH0.1995
4.18***
βGARCH0.9369
52.58***
γleverage0.0729
1.09

0.937

Persistence

11d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2240
3.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1995
4.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9369
52.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0729
1.09

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days