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V-Lab

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

112.95%

decreased by 8.35%

1 Week

110.66%

decreased by 10.64%

1 Month

104.71%

decreased by 16.59%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 11:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 116% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2154
12.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1956
17.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9395
213.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0719
4.38***

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days