V-Lab
CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
110.39%
increased by 12.87%
1 Week
107.07%
increased by 9.55%
1 Month
98.55%
increased by 1.03%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2004 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1931 | 1.29 |
| αARCH | 0.0517 | 2.69*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9417 | 33.56*** |
| γleverage | 0.1757 | 7.80*** |
0.942
Persistence12d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1931 | 1.29 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0517 | 2.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9417 | 33.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1757 | 7.80*** |
Persistence:
0.942
Half-life:
12 days
Other CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on Volatility Indices