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CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

110.39%

increased by 12.87%

1 Week

107.07%

increased by 9.55%

1 Month

98.55%

increased by 1.03%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2004 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

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Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1931
1.29
αARCH0.0517
2.69***
βGARCH0.9417
33.56***
γleverage0.1757
7.80***

0.942

Persistence

12d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1931
1.29
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0517
2.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9417
33.56***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1757
7.80***

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days