CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026
1 Day
94.09%
decreased by 0.75%
1 Week
93.27%
decreased by 1.57%
1 Month
91.43%
decreased by 3.41%
Analysis last updated: Friday, March 27, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatility| 1/1/1970 |
Current Vol
94.1%
At -5% Shock
94.1%
At +5% Shock
94.1%
Asymmetry
1.0x
Volatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over time| 1/1/1970 |
1-Year Forecast
89.5%
Long-run Vol
89.3%
Persistence
0.903
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.6758 | 18.83 | |
| 0.1006 | 20.15 | |
| 0.9030 | 137.23 | |
| 5.8239 | 4.67 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 2004 to Mar 20, 2026
Jan 2, 2004 to Mar 20, 2026
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