Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

77.22%

increased by 4.28%

1 Week

80.63%

increased by 7.69%

1 Month

85.85%

increased by 12.91%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 12, 2026 at 11:31 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2004 to Oct 9, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
4.50***
αARCH0.1232
4.68***
βGARCH0.7184
14.68***

0.842

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
4.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1232
4.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7184
14.68***

Persistence:

0.842

Half-life:

4 days