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V-Lab

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

80.62%

decreased by 4.42%

1 Week

83.05%

decreased by 1.99%

1 Month

86.86%

increased by 1.82%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 11:31 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2004 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
17.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1237
18.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7184
58.76***

Persistence:

0.842

Half-life:

4 days