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V-Lab

DAX Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

86.15%

decreased by 3.40%

1 Week

86.61%

decreased by 2.94%

1 Month

87.90%

decreased by 1.65%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of DAX Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1992 to Apr 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7200
25.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1020
34.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8453
200.34***

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days