V-Lab
DAX Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
86.15%
decreased by 3.40%
1 Week
86.61%
decreased by 2.94%
1 Month
87.90%
decreased by 1.65%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1992 to Apr 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7200 | 25.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1020 | 34.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8453 | 200.34*** |
Persistence:
0.947
Half-life:
13 days
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