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V-Lab
V-Lab

DAX Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

78.14%

increased by 2.01%

1 Week

79.48%

increased by 3.35%

1 Month

83.19%

increased by 7.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 11:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of DAX Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1992 to Aug 27, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7477
6.49***
αARCH0.1021
8.78***
βGARCH0.8441
49.95***

0.946

Persistence

13d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7477
6.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1021
8.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8441
49.95***

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

13 days