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CBOE Emerging Market Markets Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

92.65%

decreased by 5.95%

1 Week

98.25%

decreased by 0.35%

1 Month

110.75%

increased by 12.15%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 01:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Emerging Market Markets Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2011 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
4.18***
αARCH0.1676
5.43***
βGARCH0.7530
19.67***

0.921

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
4.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1676
5.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7530
19.67***

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days