Skip to main content
V-Lab

CBOE Emerging Market Markets Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

107.85%

decreased by 9.46%

1 Week

110.77%

decreased by 6.54%

1 Month

117.65%

increased by 0.34%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 11:36 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Emerging Market Markets Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2011 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
16.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1678
21.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7535
78.92***

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days