CBOE Gold Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026
1 Day
62.17%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Week
68.26%
increased by 5.81%
1 Month
78.62%
increased by 16.17%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 04:03 AM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 3, 2008 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.6905 | 5.59*** |
| αARCH | 0.1535 | 6.49*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7222 | 19.47*** |
0.876
Persistence5d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.6905 | 5.59*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1535 | 6.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7222 | 19.47*** |
Persistence:
0.876
Half-life:
5 days
Other CBOE Gold Volatility Index Analyses
Other GARCH Analyses on Volatility Indices