Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

CBOE Gold Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

62.17%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Week

68.26%

increased by 5.81%

1 Month

78.62%

increased by 16.17%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 04:03 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Gold Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 3, 2008 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.6905
5.59***
αARCH0.1535
6.49***
βGARCH0.7222
19.47***

0.876

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.6905
5.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1535
6.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7222
19.47***

Persistence:

0.876

Half-life:

5 days