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V-Lab

CBOE Gold Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

97.42%

decreased by 11.41%

1 Week

95.23%

decreased by 13.60%

1 Month

90.84%

decreased by 17.99%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 12:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Gold Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 3, 2008 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.6818
22.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1551
25.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7219
77.89***

Persistence:

0.877

Half-life:

5 days