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V-Lab

CBOE Gold Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

95.95%

decreased by 13.52%

1 Week

93.66%

decreased by 15.81%

1 Month

89.37%

decreased by 20.10%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 12:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CBOE Gold Volatility Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 3, 2008 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 92% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4105
19.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2746
17.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8782
141.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0864
6.55***

Persistence:

0.878

Half-life:

5 days