V-Lab
CBOE DJIA Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
89.05%
decreased by 4.02%
1 Week
91.39%
decreased by 1.68%
1 Month
98.75%
increased by 5.68%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 11:36 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 6, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1944 | 13.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1741 | 17.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9514 | 304.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1389 | 14.83*** |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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