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V-Lab

CBOE DJIA Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

89.05%

decreased by 4.02%

1 Week

91.39%

decreased by 1.68%

1 Month

98.75%

increased by 5.68%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 11:36 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE DJIA Volatility Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 6, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1944
13.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1741
17.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9514
304.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1389
14.83***

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days