India NSE Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
107.43%
decreased by 5.19%
1 Week
106.99%
decreased by 5.63%
1 Month
105.54%
decreased by 7.08%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 3, 2008 to Apr 4, 2025Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1080 | 5.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1244 | 17.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9706 | 240.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0959 | 13.68*** |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
23 days
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