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CBOE Brazil ETF Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

140.42%

increased by 17.95%

1 Week

129.86%

increased by 7.39%

1 Month

108.81%

decreased by 13.66%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Brazil ETF Volatility Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2011 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

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Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.2889
2.83***
αARCH0.1731
2.88***
βGARCH0.9134
34.26***
γleverage0.1235
2.43**

0.913

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2889
2.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1731
2.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9134
34.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1235
2.43**

Persistence:

0.913

Half-life:

8 days