CBOE Brazil ETF Volatility Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
59.11%
increased by 3.66%
1 Week
63.31%
increased by 7.86%
1 Month
72.04%
increased by 16.59%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 16, 2011 to Apr 4, 2025Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.40 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 26.1731 | 9.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1026 | 15.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9092 | 92.90*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.4034 | 5.41*** |
Persistence:
0.909
Half-life:
7 days
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