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CBOE Brazil ETF Volatility Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

62.77%

increased by 0.92%

1 Week

66.53%

increased by 4.68%

1 Month

74.18%

increased by 12.33%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Brazil ETF Volatility Index GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2011 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.10 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 4.10 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst26.5506
2.45**
αARCH0.1032
4.05***
βGARCH0.9025
21.00***
νDF4.0958
1.51

0.903

Persistence

7d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

26.5506
2.45**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1032
4.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9025
21.00***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0958
1.51

Persistence:

0.903

Half-life:

7 days