Skip to main content
V-Lab

CBOE Brazil ETF Volatility Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

59.11%

increased by 3.66%

1 Week

63.31%

increased by 7.86%

1 Month

72.04%

increased by 16.59%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Brazil ETF Volatility Index GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2011 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.40 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

26.1731
9.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1026
15.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9092
92.90***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.4034
5.41***

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days