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CBOE Brazil ETF Volatility Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 30th, 2026

1 Day

127.44%

decreased by 5.67%

1 Week

120.16%

decreased by 12.95%

1 Month

103.07%

decreased by 30.04%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/29/2024

to

10/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Brazil ETF Volatility Index GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2011 to Oct 22, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.12 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-lifev = 4.12 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run26.9532
2.56**
αscore0.1084
3.96***
βpersistence0.8943
20.16***
νDF4.1211
1.50

0.894

Persistence

6d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

26.9532
2.56**
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1084
3.96***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8943
20.16***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.1211
1.50

Persistence:

0.894

Half-life:

6 days