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V-Lab

DAX Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

81.59%

decreased by 3.32%

1 Week

82.21%

decreased by 2.70%

1 Month

84.06%

decreased by 0.85%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of DAX Volatility Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1992 to Apr 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1606
16.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1318
26.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9533
418.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0920
16.27***

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

15 days