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CBOE Amazon Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

105.29%

decreased by 7.11%

1 Week

109.81%

decreased by 2.59%

1 Month

112.39%

decreased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 01:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Amazon Volatility Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2011 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

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Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7259
2.62***
αARCH0.3192
4.57***
βGARCH0.5608
3.63***
γleverage0.2257
2.87***

0.561

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7259
2.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3192
4.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5608
3.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2257
2.87***

Persistence:

0.561

Half-life:

1 days