V-Lab
CBOE Amazon Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
95.35%
decreased by 3.68%
1 Week
105.77%
increased by 6.74%
1 Month
111.69%
increased by 12.66%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 11:37 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2011 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7475 | 10.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3196 | 18.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5561 | 14.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2246 | 11.34*** |
Persistence:
0.556
Half-life:
1 days
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