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V-Lab

CBOE Amazon Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

93.11%

decreased by 0.81%

1 Week

97.98%

increased by 4.06%

1 Month

108.57%

increased by 14.65%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 11:34 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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graph of CBOE Amazon Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
5.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1465
4.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8400
47.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1465
-4.33***

Persistence:

0.913

Half-life:

8 days