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CBOE Amazon Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

107.73%

decreased by 3.37%

1 Week

109.84%

decreased by 1.26%

1 Month

114.63%

increased by 3.53%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 11:39 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Amazon Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2011 to Oct 2, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.31
αARCH0.1495
1.13
βGARCH0.8383
12.09***
γleverage-0.1495
-1.10

0.913

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1495
1.13
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8383
12.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1495
-1.10

Persistence:

0.913

Half-life:

8 days