V-Lab
CBOE Amazon Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
93.11%
decreased by 0.81%
1 Week
97.98%
increased by 4.06%
1 Month
108.57%
increased by 14.65%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 11:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 5.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1465 | 4.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8400 | 47.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1465 | -4.33*** |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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