S&P / TSX 60 VIX Index CAD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
100.60%
decreased by 9.47%
1 Week
108.12%
decreased by 1.95%
1 Month
128.22%
increased by 18.15%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2017 to Apr 4, 2025Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 175% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 15.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1202 | 9.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7308 | 77.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2109 | 6.74*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
16 days
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