V-Lab
S&P / TSX 60 VIX Index CAD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
117.33%
increased by 5.17%
1 Week
122.61%
increased by 10.45%
1 Month
137.34%
increased by 25.18%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2017 to Apr 4, 2025Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 175% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 15.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1202 | 9.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7308 | 77.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2109 | 6.74*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
16 days
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