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V-Lab

CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

78.92%

increased by 6.18%

1 Week

80.24%

increased by 7.50%

1 Month

83.60%

increased by 10.86%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

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10Y ·

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graph of CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1103
19.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1633
22.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8510
205.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1633
-22.08***

Persistence:

0.933

Half-life:

10 days