V-Lab
CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
78.92%
increased by 6.18%
1 Week
80.24%
increased by 7.50%
1 Month
83.60%
increased by 10.86%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1103 | 19.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1633 | 22.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8510 | 205.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1633 | -22.08*** |
Persistence:
0.933
Half-life:
10 days
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