ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 1st, 2026
1 Day
46.62%
decreased by 4.75%
1 Week
46.30%
decreased by 5.07%
1 Month
45.29%
decreased by 6.08%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 03:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2650 | 22.53 | |
| 0.2238 | 21.69 | |
| 0.7971 | 129.04 | |
| -0.1172 | -8.09 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
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