ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 6th, 2026
1 Day
25.08%
decreased by 1.13%
1 Week
26.65%
increased by 0.44%
1 Month
31.03%
increased by 4.82%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 3, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2626 | 22.72 | |
| 0.2197 | 21.85 | |
| 0.8005 | 133.54 | |
| -0.1171 | -8.27 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Jul 2, 2026
Feb 26, 2008 to Jul 2, 2026
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