V-Lab
CBOE Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
85.35%
decreased by 2.79%
1 Week
89.15%
increased by 1.01%
1 Month
96.48%
increased by 8.34%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 11:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.6989 | 19.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2061 | 19.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7853 | 145.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2061 | -19.40*** |
Persistence:
0.888
Half-life:
6 days
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