V-Lab
CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
104.44%
decreased by 4.61%
1 Week
110.49%
increased by 1.44%
1 Month
126.22%
increased by 17.17%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2008 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 256% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 20.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2135 | 17.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8106 | 138.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1536 | -9.15*** |
Persistence:
0.947
Half-life:
13 days
Other CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Volatility Indices