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V-Lab

iTraxx/CBOE Europe Main 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

102.71%

decreased by 8.07%

1 Week

102.27%

decreased by 8.51%

1 Month

101.43%

decreased by 9.35%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of iTraxx/CBOE Europe Main 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
22.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2127
15.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7546
93.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1832
-12.32***

Persistence:

0.876

Half-life:

5 days