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V-Lab

iTraxx/CBOE Europe Main 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

85.02%

increased by 0.82%

1 Week

88.70%

increased by 4.50%

1 Month

95.35%

increased by 11.15%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 11:34 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of iTraxx/CBOE Europe Main 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
22.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2108
15.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7562
93.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1827
-12.42***

Persistence:

0.876

Half-life:

5 days