V-Lab
iTraxx/CBOE Europe Main 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Monday, August 17th, 2026):
1 Day
82.52%
1 Week
86.84%
1 Month
94.57%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2012 to Aug 14, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 5.69*** |
| αARCH | 0.2105 | 3.95*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7567 | 23.41*** |
| γleverage | -0.1828 | -3.11*** |
0.876
Persistence5d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 5.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2105 | 3.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7567 | 23.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1828 | -3.11*** |
Persistence:
0.876
Half-life:
5 days
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