V-Lab
iTraxx/CBOE Europe Main 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) APARCH Volatility Analysis
Last recorded values (Monday, August 17th, 2026):
1 Day
79.54%
1 Week
82.12%
1 Month
89.50%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2012 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. The volatility power δ = 1.14 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4556 | 1.90* |
| αARCH | 0.0637 | 1.22 |
| βGARCH | 0.8904 | 36.60*** |
| γleverage | -1.0000 | -0.77 |
| δpower | 1.1432 | 5.21*** |
0.947
Persistence13d
Half-lifeAPARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4556 | 1.90* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0637 | 1.22 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8904 | 36.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -1.0000 | -0.77 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.1432 | 5.21*** |
Persistence:
0.947
Half-life:
13 days
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