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V-Lab

Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

41.58%

increased by 17.33%

1 Week

42.28%

increased by 18.03%

1 Month

44.12%

increased by 19.87%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 29, 2001 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 112% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5517
31.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3085
21.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7108
104.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1631
-8.49***

Persistence:

0.938

Half-life:

11 days