V-Lab
CBOE Google Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
99.57%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Week
103.35%
increased by 3.25%
1 Month
111.81%
increased by 11.71%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2011 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 9.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0994 | 7.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8635 | 80.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0956 | -6.19*** |
Persistence:
0.915
Half-life:
8 days
Other CBOE Google Volatility Index Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Volatility Indices