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V-Lab

CBOE Google Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

99.57%

decreased by 0.53%

1 Week

103.35%

increased by 3.25%

1 Month

111.81%

increased by 11.71%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CBOE Google Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2011 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
9.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0994
7.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8635
80.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0956
-6.19***

Persistence:

0.915

Half-life:

8 days