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V-Lab

India NSE Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

97.35%

decreased by 4.52%

1 Week

96.74%

decreased by 5.13%

1 Month

94.96%

decreased by 6.91%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of India NSE Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 3, 2008 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 312% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6801
13.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1324
12.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8664
142.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1003
-8.02***

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days