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CBOE Gold Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

123.84%

increased by 50.67%

1 Week

115.07%

increased by 41.90%

1 Month

98.24%

increased by 25.07%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 12:06 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Gold Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 3, 2008 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.0999
5.41***
αARCH0.2124
4.49***
βGARCH0.7075
16.85***
γleverage-0.1327
-1.63

0.854

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.0999
5.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2124
4.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7075
16.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1327
-1.63

Persistence:

0.854

Half-life:

4 days