ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 14th, 2026
1 Day
73.05%
decreased by 3.05%
1 Week
72.34%
decreased by 3.76%
1 Month
70.23%
decreased by 5.87%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 14, 2026 at 04:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8286 | 21.73 | |
| 0.1055 | 23.99 | |
| 0.8784 | 216.26 | |
| -0.0664 | -10.21 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 8, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 8, 2026
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