ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 20th, 2026
1 Day
81.32%
decreased by 4.73%
1 Week
83.25%
decreased by 2.80%
1 Month
86.00%
decreased by 0.05%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 12:05 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7570 | 7.49 | |
| 0.1137 | 6.97 | |
| 0.7068 | 18.13 | |
| -0.0046 | -0.12 | |
| 0.0453 | 0.81 | |
| -0.0936 | -2.59 | |
| 0.0717 | 1.92 | |
| -0.0185 | -0.49 | |
| 0.0063 | 0.17 | |
| -0.0510 | -1.34 | |
| 0.1404 | 3.58 | |
| -0.1949 | -3.96 | |
| 0.1843 | 2.57 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 17, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 17, 2026
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