ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, January 20th, 2026:58.31% (-1.15%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8288 | 10.53 | |
| 0.1137 | 6.98 | |
| 0.7155 | 18.94 | |
| 0.0311 | 2.92 | |
| -0.0547 | -3.39 | |
| 0.0377 | 3.46 | |
| -0.0308 | -3.20 | |
| 0.0466 | 4.56 | |
| -0.0815 | -4.21 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jan 16, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jan 16, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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