ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 26th, 2026
1 Day
81.30%
decreased by 5.67%
1 Week
81.47%
decreased by 5.50%
1 Month
81.88%
decreased by 5.09%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 12:12 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.1661 | 32.94 | |
| 0.7252 | 73.82 | |
| -0.1108 | -12.81 | |
| 0.0586 | 1.87 | |
| 0.0122 | 3.28 | |
| 0.9846 | 196.80 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 22, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 22, 2026
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