ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 12th, 2026
1 Day
83.99%
increased by 1.64%
1 Week
83.07%
increased by 0.72%
1 Month
81.85%
decreased by 0.50%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, May 12, 2026 at 04:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.1672 | 33.06 | |
| 0.7248 | 74.15 | |
| -0.1116 | -12.91 | |
| 0.0581 | 1.89 | |
| 0.0120 | 3.29 | |
| 0.9848 | 200.57 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 8, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 8, 2026
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