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V-Lab

CBOE Realized Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

36.83%

decreased by 1.16%

1 Week

41.48%

increased by 3.49%

1 Month

44.02%

increased by 6.03%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CBOE Realized Volatility Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 1, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0172
1.95*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3125
3.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
15.49***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

7.9843
0.23
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.580

Half-life:

1 days