Skip to main content
V-Lab

CBOE Realized Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

35.82%

decreased by 0.93%

1 Week

41.05%

increased by 4.30%

1 Month

43.91%

increased by 7.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Realized Volatility Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 1, 2012 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0169
1.95*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3172
3.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
15.52***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

7.9812
0.23
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.584

Half-life:

1 days