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V-Lab

CBOE Realized Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

35.89%

decreased by 2.30%

1 Week

43.11%

increased by 4.92%

1 Month

47.62%

increased by 9.43%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CBOE Realized Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 1, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.4644
13.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0201
2.46**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2372
6.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.7627
7.52***

Persistence:

0.639

Half-life:

2 days