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V-Lab

CBOE Realized Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

34.35%

decreased by 1.01%

1 Week

42.52%

increased by 7.16%

1 Month

47.53%

increased by 12.17%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of CBOE Realized Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 1, 2012 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.4704
13.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0202
2.47**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2357
6.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.7662
7.55***

Persistence:

0.639

Half-life:

2 days