Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

CBOE Realized Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

41.65%

increased by 4.50%

1 Week

45.38%

increased by 8.23%

1 Month

47.85%

increased by 10.70%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Realized Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 1, 2012 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.4423
3.46***
αARCH0.0203
0.62
βGARCH0.2360
1.53
γleverage0.7564
1.88*

0.634

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.4423
3.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0203
0.62
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2360
1.53
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.7564
1.88*

Persistence:

0.634

Half-life:

2 days