V-Lab
CBOE Realized Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
39.20%
increased by 0.37%
1 Week
39.72%
increased by 0.89%
1 Month
39.85%
increased by 1.02%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 1, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 12.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0480 | 3.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1602 | 2.47** |
Persistence:
0.208
Half-life:
0 days
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