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S&P / TSX 60 VIX Index CAD GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

131.11%

increased by 45.44%

1 Week

132.95%

increased by 47.28%

1 Month

137.94%

increased by 52.27%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:30 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of S&P / TSX 60 VIX Index CAD GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2017 to Oct 8, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
3.31***
αARCH0.1920
3.81***
βGARCH0.7498
14.90***

0.942

Persistence

12d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
3.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1920
3.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7498
14.90***

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days