S&P / TSX 60 VIX Index CAD GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 30th, 2026
1 Day
79.83%
decreased by 1.91%
1 Week
89.65%
increased by 7.91%
1 Month
112.36%
increased by 30.62%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2017 to Oct 22, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 3.32*** |
| αARCH | 0.1907 | 3.83*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7502 | 14.99*** |
0.941
Persistence11d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.32*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1907 | 3.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7502 | 14.99*** |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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