V-Lab
CBOE Goldman Sachs Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
79.76%
increased by 2.30%
1 Week
84.29%
increased by 6.83%
1 Month
92.07%
increased by 14.61%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 11:39 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 20.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1636 | 27.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7050 | 68.60*** |
Persistence:
0.869
Half-life:
5 days
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