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V-Lab

CBOE Goldman Sachs Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

79.76%

increased by 2.30%

1 Week

84.29%

increased by 6.83%

1 Month

92.07%

increased by 14.61%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 11:39 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Goldman Sachs Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
20.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1636
27.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7050
68.60***

Persistence:

0.869

Half-life:

5 days