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Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

45.90%

increased by 17.13%

1 Week

46.15%

increased by 17.38%

1 Month

46.85%

increased by 18.08%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 29, 2001 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5122
7.00***
αARCH0.2282
7.48***
βGARCH0.7164
27.05***

0.945

Persistence

12d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5122
7.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2282
7.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7164
27.05***

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days