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V-Lab

Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

31.18%

decreased by 2.37%

1 Week

33.38%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Month

39.12%

increased by 5.57%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 29, 2001 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4849
26.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2275
28.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7235
106.68***

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days