V-Lab
Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
31.18%
decreased by 2.37%
1 Week
33.38%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Month
39.12%
increased by 5.57%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 29, 2001 to Apr 4, 2025Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4849 | 26.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2275 | 28.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7235 | 106.68*** |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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