V-Lab
Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
34.32%
decreased by 1.82%
1 Week
35.52%
decreased by 0.62%
1 Month
38.69%
increased by 2.55%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 29, 2001 to Apr 4, 2025Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 60% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1602 | 24.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3552 | 31.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9200 | 294.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0821 | 9.61*** |
Persistence:
0.920
Half-life:
8 days
Other Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on Volatility Indices