Skip to main content
V-Lab

Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

34.32%

decreased by 1.82%

1 Week

35.52%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Month

38.69%

increased by 2.55%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 29, 2001 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 60% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1602
24.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3552
31.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9200
294.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0821
9.61***

Persistence:

0.920

Half-life:

8 days