Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

CBOE Emerging Market Markets Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

102.54%

decreased by 10.75%

1 Week

105.13%

decreased by 8.16%

1 Month

110.51%

decreased by 2.78%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 01:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Emerging Market Markets Volatility Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2011 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 234% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 234% more than negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4649
4.05***
αARCH0.2618
5.05***
βGARCH0.8829
32.20***
γleverage0.1412
2.99***

0.883

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4649
4.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2618
5.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8829
32.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1412
2.99***

Persistence:

0.883

Half-life:

6 days